FVXX21 KNES 301428 VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY ISSUED: 2005SEP30/1428Z VAAC: WASHINGTON VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 1502-08 LOCATION: S0128 W07826 AREA: ECUADOR SUMMIT ELEVATION: 16480 FT (5023 M) ADVISORY NUMBER: 2005/149 INFORMATION SOURCE: GUAYAQUIL MWO. GOES-12. GFS MODEL WINDS. PILOT REPORT. ERUPTION DETAILS: ASH OBSERVED 30/1342Z OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 30/1345Z OBS ASH CLOUD: ASH NOT IDENTIFIABLE FROM SATELLITE DATA. WINDS FL100/FL150 MOVING TO E 5-10 KNOTS. FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 30/2000Z FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 01/0200Z FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 01/0800Z REMARKS: TWO PILOTS REPORTED VOLCANIC ASH MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST AT 1342Z. THE VERY FIRST VISIBLE IMAGE AT 1115Z SUGGESTED A POSSIBLE FAINT PLUME EXTENDED APPROXIMATELY 12 NMI TO THE EAST BUT SINCE THEN THE HIGHER SUN ANGLE AND CUMULUS CLOUD DEVELOPMENT HAS PREVENTED DETECTION OF ANY ASH. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT BECAUSE THE GFS MODEL OUTPUT DOES NOT AGREE WITH THE OBSERVED DIRECTION OF MOTION THE WIND SPEED IS UNCERTAIN. ...TURK NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 2005SEP30/2030Z NNNN