FVXX20 KNES 171914
VOLCANIC ASH ADVISORY
ISSUED: 20060717/1913Z   VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 1502-08
LOCATION: S0128 W07826   AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEVATION: 16480 FT (5023 M)

ADVISORY NUMBER: 2006/451

INFORMATION SOURCE: GUAYAQUIL MWO. GOES-12. GFS
WINDS. GEOPHYSICAL INST. PILOT REPORT. 

ERUPTION DETAILS: ASH ACTIVITY CONTINUING.

OBS ASH DATE/TIME: 17/1845Z

OBS ASH CLOUD: SFC/FL260 S0125 W07831 - S0125
W07826 - S0131 W07826 - S0134 W07840 - S0126
W07846 - S0125 W07831 MOVING W 5-10 KNOTS. 

FCST ASH CLOUD +6H: 18/0100Z SFC/FL260 S0126
W07826 - S0132 W07825 - S0137 W07843 - S0132
W07849 - S0127 W07846 - S0126 W07826 

FCST ASH CLOUD +12H: 18/0700Z SFC/FL260 S0126
W07825 - S0132 W07825 - S0138 W07845 - S0134
W07854 - S0126 W07847 - S0126 W07825 

FCST ASH CLOUD +18H: 18/1300Z SFC/FL260 S0125
W07847 - S0125 W07825 - S0134 W07825 - S0137
W07850 - S0132 W07853 - S0125 W07847 

REMARKS: ASH IS CONTINUING TO MOVE TOWARDS THE
WEST AT 5-10 KNOTS.  THE GUAYAQUIL MWO HAS BEEN
ISSUING SIGMETS WITH ASH ESTIMATES FROM FL230-320
BASED ON INFORMATION FROM THE GEOPHYSICAL
INSTITUTE.  BASED ON WHAT WE SEE IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND THE MOST RECENT GFS MODEL WINDS ASH
IS ESTIMATED TO FL260.  A WELL DEFINED HOTSPOT IS
STILL PRESENT. ...KIBLER

NEXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20060718/0115Z

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