FVXX20 KNES 061300
VA ADVISORY
DTG: 20140206/1300Z

VAAC: WASHINGTON

VOLCANO: TUNGURAHUA 1502-08
PSN: S0128 W07826

AREA: ECUADOR

SUMMIT ELEV: 16480 FT (5023 M)

ADVISORY NR: 2014/040

INFO SOURCE: GUAYAQUIL MWO. GOES-13. GFS WINDS.
HYSPLIT. SEISMIC DETECTION. VOLCANO WEB CAMERA.
PILOT REPORT. GEOPHYSICAL INST. ECMWF WINDS

ERUPTION DETAILS: NEW ERUPTION AROUND 06/1115Z

OBS VA DTG: 06/1215Z

OBS VA CLD: SFC/FL260 S0113 W07813 - S0128 W07812
- S0128 W07820 - S0121 W07822 - S0113 W07813 MOV
NE 10-15KT SFC/FL280 S0128 W07822 - S0218 W07743
- S0225 W07807 - S0155 W07820 - S0130 W07826 -
S0128 W07822 MOV SE 5-10KT 

FCST VA CLD +6HR: 06/1830Z SFC/FL260 S0105 W07754
- S0119 W07755 - S0119 W07759 - S0107 W07800 -
S0105 W07754 SFC/FL280 S0128 W07823 - S0236
W07723 - S0255 W07756 - S0129 W07826 - S0128
W07823 

FCST VA CLD +12HR: 07/0030Z SFC/FL260 NO ASH EXP
SFC/FL280 S0128 W07823 - S0253 W07723 - S0302 W07758 -
S0130 W07827 - S0128 W07823 

FCST VA CLD +18HR: 07/0630Z SFC/FL280 S0128
W07822 - S0247 W07717 - S0300 W07753 - S0129
W07827 - S0128 W07822 

RMK: VA HDG NE IS NOW DETACHED FROM SUMMIT.  FCST
MODELS DO NOT HAVE GOOD HANDLE ON THIS PLUME SO
FCST AFTER +06 HRS IS NOT AVBL.  VA MOV SE NOW
ESTIMATED TO FL280 BASED ON FCST MODEL AND PILOT
RPRTS.   ...KIBLER

NXT ADVISORY: WILL BE ISSUED BY 20140206/1900Z
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